DICE
Is your project likely to
succeed or fail?
Successful Project Management is about identifying likely points of failure and putting in place contingency plans to ensure delivery.
Wouldn’t it be good if you could have a tool which was able to measure the likelyhood of your projects success.
Key elements that will dictate whether your project will be a success or failure.
DICE is based on a 100+ large projects
> Step functions for each element of DICE* were established
> 225 change projects from throughout the world were surveyed
> DICE was converted into a simple mathematical formula to predict likelihood, and allow manipulation of outcomes PRIOR TO IMPLEMENTATION
> Plotting results reinforces DICE
●It becomes possible to define zones of behaviour into which projects can be pushed
●Specific conditions can be defined to select for success (or failure) in a quantifiable way
Reflection
If you had this tool (DICE) up front, would you have managed your project differently ?
…….. or are you prepared to gamble?
D uration
The timeline until either completion of the project or the next learning milestone
The ‘learning milestone’ is a predetermined stage in implementation at which project strengths, weaknesses and progress against key performance measures are formally assessed
Duration of change either to completion or ‘learning milestone’
Score; 1. <2 months, 2. 2-4 months, 3. 4-8 months, 4. >8 months
I ntegrity
The performance integrity of the project team
Attributes portfolio includes: fast track individuals, challenging minds, people skills, team playing, self motivation, appropriate resources, pushing to conclusion, hardworking and organising skills
Performance integrity of project team
Score; 1. Very good, 2. Good, 3. Average, 4. Poor
C ommitment
The commitment to the change
This includes the attitudes of both the local area undergoing the change (C2) and the visible as well as real commitment of relevant senior management (C1)
Commitment (1): Senior management commitment to the change
Score; 1. Clearly communicate need, 2. Seem to want success, 3. Neutral, 4. Reluctant
Commitment (2); Local commitment to the change
Score; 1. Eager, 2. Willing, 3. Reluctant, 4. Strongly reluctant
E ffort
The additional amount of local effort (to normal working requirements) required during implementation
Local effort during implementation
Score; 1. <10% additional, 2. 10-20% additional, 4. 20-40% additional, 5. >40% additional
The Result
A Simple Formula To Predict, And Allow
Manipulation Of, Outcome
DICE = D + 2I + 2C1 + C2 + E
Calculate your own DICE
Pick a change related project you are familiar with
Using the scoresheet, allocate scores for D, I, C, E and the project outcome (if you know it) then calculate the DICE* score and plot it!
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